Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 51.092079 59.912009 69.521247 80.732275 93.415608 107.281757 123.548796
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 38.216615 50.109299 64.259540 82.179505 104.096886 129.850978 162.206596
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 27.806851 40.040192 55.691185 76.855281 104.358018 138.489997 183.599609
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 23.398123 36.357579 53.929380 78.941500 112.987259 157.006168 217.395224
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 19.272814 32.182221 50.660739 78.226174 117.341703 169.778318 244.092029
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 17.603966 31.202528 51.550656 83.072511 129.301555 193.051263 285.695233
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 14.034573 26.670192 46.570412 78.747013 127.708013 197.365219 301.408541
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 12.643098 25.414923 46.367738 81.404257 136.260010 216.189322 338.081621
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 11.972606 25.267543 47.855540 86.716367 149.030346 241.642302 385.310654
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 10.870577 24.161978 47.593089 89.117087 157.361341 260.860187 424.227159
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.752508 22.841020 46.781586 90.468132 164.014445 277.761807 460.326440
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.387775 20.807532 44.454964 88.983952 165.888863 287.311021 485.624218
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.289121 19.267376 43.094928 89.506221 171.871196 304.774397 525.839067
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.404825 18.043712 42.222968 90.901433 179.588414 325.703271 572.995777
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.961056 15.210205 37.746300 85.088606 174.268283 325.093426 585.942488
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.455611 14.514691 37.538259 87.357716 183.380806 348.700412 638.827921
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.788300 13.240901 35.893857 86.578959 186.808048 362.813597 676.710095
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.621684 13.285650 37.178860 91.851847 201.824370 397.473422 750.108698
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.866065 11.450174 33.857685 87.145831 197.483272 398.147153 766.287562
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.633370 11.125326 34.083203 90.037242 208.029688 425.587479 829.142892
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.561580 11.299526 35.564251 95.813641 224.620941 464.576351 913.346636
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.346136 10.941173 35.639095 98.422590 234.981338 492.666999 979.542342
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.105965 10.429936 35.238626 99.890398 243.078360 516.918108 1039.828631